Michael Tradford
Last Update:
October 15, 2021
This author was thoroughly tested and approved by the experts at before joining the editorial board to ensure a high content quality.
Author Bio:
Michael was Marketing Director in Atlantic City and worked in the casino industry for several years before shifting over to numerous newspapers in New York and Chicago working his way up to Editor-in-Chief. His focus areas are mainly in the fields of sports, gambling, and politics. He has a Marketing Degree, visited Columbia University during his time in New York and is now Editor-in-Chief at AmericaGambles.
Michael was Marketing Director in Atlantic City and worked in the casino industry for several years before shifting over to numerous newspapers in New York and Chicago working his way up to Editor-in-Chief. His focus areas are mainly in the fields of sports, gambling, and politics. He has a Marketing Degree, visited Columbia University during his time in New York and is now Editor-in-Chief at AmericaGambles.

NFL Over Under 2021: Odds & Strategies

Scoring in the NFL is higher than it has ever been thanks to the pass-heavy offenses of the modern era of the game along with the offense-friendly rules that preside over it. Because of the surge in offensive firepower across the league, NFL over under betting is in an interesting place with many new things to consider when deciding where a point total will land for a game. In this guide to how to bet NFL over under action, find out what those new and existing factors are and how to use them to your advantage to win when betting NFL over under odds.

Everything you need to know about NFL Over Under Betting
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  • Bettors can wager on game or team totals

  • Player stat totals also available in props

  • Odds usually fall within similar range

How does NFL over under betting work?

Betting on totals in the NFL is relatively simple, as sports bettors don’t tend to see too much variation between totals and odds from sportsbook to sportsbook. But there are some nuances between the different totals markets that are up for grabs in the NFL, which we will cover later in this guide. Fortunately, no matter what NFL betting markets are chosen, sports bettors are able to place their new bets easily thanks to the streamlined processes that most betting sites have put into place for taking on any kind of new bet.

To place a new NFL overunder bet, sports bettors have to login to the sportsbook that they plan on using. Once they are logged in, they can go to the NFL betting section of the site and choose which markets they want to bet the overunder in. Once those games and totals are selected, sports bettors can choose their stake amount that indicates the amount that they want to risk on the matchup that week. After choosing a risk amount, sports bettors will be able to see the potential payout that they will receive if they are to win their bet. As long as those amounts are satisfactory, sports bettors can confirm their bet and hope that it is a winner.

What kinds of NFL over under bets can I make?

There is a strong amount of NFL over under lines for sports bettors to get involved with, some of which encapsulate single games while others are a part of a much larger picture. Here is a list of the different NFL overunder betting options that players have a chance to take part in, as well as what those different choices mean for sports bettors.

  • Point total odds
  • Prop bets
  • Futures odds
  • Teaser odds

The most common type of total odds that are associated with betting for NFL is the single game overunder wager. This type of bet asks sports bettors whether they think the amount of points scored in a game will go over or under the total that is set by the bookmaker. The availability of these markets is common across all sportsbooks, as every NFL matchup each week gets a total assigned to it before kickoff so that bettors may take part in the action.

Totals odds from a prop betting perspective are perhaps the most interesting type of totals betting that can be done on the NFL, as sports bettors can choose from over unders in a wide variety of betting markets that involve player performance or totals specific to team performances. Among these overunder markets are items such as whether a player will go over or under a set amount in specific statistical categories such as receptions or yards. Other overunder props include over unders for the longest field goal made in a matchup or the longest touchdown scored in a matchup for the week.

Futures bets with regard to totals are very fun, as sports bettors have a chance to wager on a few different categories with a full season in mind. The most common of these bets are futures wagers that ask about over unders on season win totals for each team. Aside from win total wagers, sports bettors can take part in over unders on what a player’s season long performance will be like in several statistical categories like yards and touchdowns.

Finally, teasers give bettors a more favorable chance at hitting their totals bets. Teasers allow bettors to choose multiple bets and adjust them by a number of points that impact the odds of each selection. These are often easier to hit than single bets, but can also be tough to nail down based on the fact that they require multiple outcomes to come through.

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Important NFL events

The most important event on the NFL calendar is, of course, the Super Bowl. It is the most viewed event in American sports, and the most heavily wagered on event in American sports as well. With Super Bowl betting being as popular as it is, there is no surprise that there are tons of totals markets up for grabs for that matchup from the full four quarter total to player props and even the amount of times that certain phrases are uttered during the broadcast of the game.

Aside from the Super Bowl, totals betting on the NFL playoffs is a key part of the season. The playoffs matchup teams that play vastly different styles, with all of those teams playing at a high level in order to qualify for the postseason in the first place. Figuring out which new or old school styles will win out is a huge key toward betting on NFL postseason totals. And with there being six teams competing for conference championships on each side of the playoff bracket, bettors have to understand the styles of several competitors in the tournament.

Things to remember when placing NFL over under bets

When betting on NFL over unders, it is important to evaluate the entirety of both teams playing each week. While both teams might have skill players that are capable of putting up points in bunches, deficiencies in the offensive line could render those players less impactful than they would be otherwise. The same can be said about defenses in the other direction, as issues with a team’s defense could have a serious impact on the ability of a team to keep a game under the total that week. As always, this should be evaluated on a case by case basis.

Another item to remember for NFL overunder betting is to take the weather into account. Some games are played in heat early in the season, which could wear down defenses to the point that they are unable to defend well late in games. Other games are played in the snow during the winter, which could make it difficult for passing offenses to get off the ground. Situational totals betting based on the weather could make a huge difference and could be much more profitable than only evaluating the players that are on the field for both teams.

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NFL over under betting strategies

When looking at the strategy that goes into betting on NFL over unders, bettors should think about the way that the betting public perceives certain players. While inexperienced quarterbacks might be thought of as a detriment to a matchup going over a total, it is possible that those inexperienced players have a chance to deliver in a big way against favorable matchups. Rather than thinking about the way that single players impact games, it is much more beneficial to think about how entire offensive and defensive units will match up with one another.

Also worth pursuing from a strategy standpoint is the aforementioned weather related totals wagers. It is difficult to bet on sides in games that are impacted by weather, as you never know which teams will physically hold up better to the elements that week. But totals that are impacted by weather can be a lot more effective and profitable for bettors who are willing to do their research of the weather at each venue on game day. Elements like rain and snow have potentially massive impacts on the passing games for offenses in particular that week, and could result in predictable and run heavy offenses that struggle to move the football.

Find the ideal place to bet NFL totals

The actual mechanics of NFL totals betting aren’t all that different from bookmaker to bookmaker, as the point totals and odds that bettors are from site to site tend not to be radically different. However, bettors are likely to get a better experience if they use a sportsbook that meets their unique needs. When you use our sportsbook comparison tool, you can find the right sportsbook for you by looking at how different sites stack up across a series of criteria. Don’t miss this opportunity, use our sportsbook comparison tool to find your ideal bookmaker and get your sports betting  bonus today.

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Worth trying to solve
Making NFL over under predictions is something that has to be done with care, as one turnover or defensive mistake can undo the hard work that it takes for a bettor to end up winning their wager. But if a bettor has a strong feel for the way that teams play football and they can use their knowledge to project how two styles of play will mesh with one another, betting totals in pro football can come with plenty of success for those who are willing to pick their spots and to carefully analyze things leading up to the games on the schedule that week.
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